Dinamo Vladivostok vs Kaluga: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dinamo, Vladivostok
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Vladivostok the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Kaluga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Vladivostok vs Kaluga?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Dinamo Vladivostok (1,712) and Kaluga (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Vladivostok have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Kaluga have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Kirov(away) | 2-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FK Sokol Saratov(home) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Dinamo Barnaul(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan(away) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dinamo Bryansk(home) | 1-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Bryansk(home) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(away) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(home) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dinamo Vladivostok win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kaluga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Dinamo Vladivostok 1-0 Kaluga | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Kaluga 4-1 Dinamo Vladivostok | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| May 31, 2025 | Dinamo Vladivostok 1-1 Kaluga | Second League A - Spring Season Silver |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Kaluga 2-2 Dinamo Vladivostok | Second League A - Spring Season Silver |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Kaluga 2-1 Dinamo Vladivostok | Second League - Group 3 |
| Oct 20, 2022 | Kaluga 1-0 Dinamo Vladivostok | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Vladivostok vs Kaluga on Oct 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Vladivostok score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kaluga score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Vladivostok | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Kaluga | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Vladivostok sit 9th in Second League A - Division A Gold (4 points from 5 matches) and Kaluga sit 10th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dinamo Vladivostok | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Kaluga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Vladivostok vs Kaluga?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Vladivostok the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Kaluga.
- Where and when is Dinamo Vladivostok vs Kaluga played?
- Dinamo Vladivostok vs Kaluga is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dinamo, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.