Diyarbekirspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, Diyarbakır
The Footlab model makes Diyarbekirspor the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Yeni Malatyaspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diyarbekirspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?
Diyarbekirspor starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,512 vs 1,334).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diyarbekirspor have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Yeni Malatyaspor have 0, 2 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 2-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 4-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kırşehir Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1461 Trabzon FK(home) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 1-8 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Malatyaspor score 0.6 and concede 4.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diyarbekirspor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Yeni Malatyaspor | 0.6 | 4.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diyarbekirspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Diyarbekirspor the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Yeni Malatyaspor.
- Where and when is Diyarbekirspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor played?
- Diyarbekirspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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