Donau vs Mattersburg SV 2020: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - OstOst - 23Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz SV Donau, Wien
The Footlab model makes Donau the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Mattersburg SV 2020. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Donau vs Mattersburg SV 2020?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Donau (1,547) and Mattersburg SV 2020 (1,513).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Donau have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Mattersburg SV 2020 have 1, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SV Horn(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Parndorf(away) | 1-6 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Hellas Kagran(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Scheiblingkirchen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiener Viktoria(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wiener SC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gloggnitz(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | First Vienna(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Donau score 1.6 and concede 3.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mattersburg SV 2020 score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donau | 1.6 | 3.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Mattersburg SV 2020 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Donau sit 15th in Regionalliga - Ost (2 points from 4 matches) and Mattersburg SV 2020 sit 12th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Donau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Donau | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
| 15 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Donau vs Mattersburg SV 2020?
- The Footlab model makes Donau the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Mattersburg SV 2020.
- Where and when is Donau vs Mattersburg SV 2020 played?
- Donau vs Mattersburg SV 2020 is played on April 11, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz SV Donau, in the Regionalliga - Ost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.