Donau vs Parndorf: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - OstOst - 17Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz SV Donau, Wien
The Footlab model makes Parndorf the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Donau. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Donau vs Parndorf?
Parndorf starts as the favourite with a 263-point Elo edge (1,809 vs 1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Donau have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Parndorf have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SV Horn(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Parndorf(away) | 1-6 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Hellas Kagran(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloggnitz(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Donau(home) | 6-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Leobendorf(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Wiener Viktoria(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Donau win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Parndorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Parndorf 6-1 Donau | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Donau 2-5 Parndorf | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Parndorf 2-0 Donau | Regionalliga - Ost |
How many goals should we expect?
Donau score 1.6 and concede 3.7 goals per match over their last 15; Parndorf score 2.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donau | 1.6 | 3.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Parndorf | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Donau sit 15th in Regionalliga - Ost (2 points from 4 matches) and Parndorf sit 5th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Parndorf | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Parndorf | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Donau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Donau | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Donau vs Parndorf?
- The Footlab model makes Parndorf the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Donau.
- Where and when is Donau vs Parndorf played?
- Donau vs Parndorf is played on February 28, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz SV Donau, in the Regionalliga - Ost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.