Dongen vs TOGB: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Biezen, Dongen
The Footlab AI model makes Dongen the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for TOGB. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dongen vs TOGB?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Dongen (1,620) and TOGB (1,683).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dongen vs TOGB
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dongen
4-3-3- 17M. van Bree
- 15A. Sesay
- 11R. Siemerink
- 10F. Kamaçi
- 8T. Avontuur
- 4T. Martens
- 6L. Hultermans
- 14S. Spijkers
- 12J. Gerrits
- 20P. Scheerlinck
- 22S. Heijstee
TOGB
4-3-3- 7M. Le Fevre
- 9A. Bensalah
- 19M. El Yakoubi
- 21T. Azaroiali
- 6J. Zandbergen
- 8L. Zwarteveld
- 3G. Zandbergen
- 5M. van der Elst
- 13F. Eijgenraam
- 15J. Weegman
- 1M. Zwartveld
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dongen have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; TOGB have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UNA(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 4-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dongen wins, 0 draws, 2 TOGB wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Dongen 2-6 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 18, 2022 | TOGB 1-0 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Dongen score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; TOGB score 2.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dongen | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| TOGB | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dongen sit 8th in Derde Divisie (13 points from 9 matches) and TOGB sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dongen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 13 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Dongen vs TOGB?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dongen vs TOGB?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dongen the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for TOGB.
- Where and when is Dongen vs TOGB played?
- Dongen vs TOGB is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Biezen, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.