Dongen vs TOGB: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Biezen, Dongen
The Footlab model makes Dongen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for TOGB. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dongen vs TOGB?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Dongen (1,676) and TOGB (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dongen have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; TOGB have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | EVV(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zwaluwen(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Heerjansdam(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Heerjansdam(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 30, 2026 | SVV Scheveningen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UNA(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | Groene Ster(home) | 5-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dongen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 TOGB win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Dongen 2-6 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 18, 2022 | TOGB 1-0 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Dongen score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; TOGB score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dongen | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| TOGB | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dongen sit 2nd in Derde Divisie (6 points from 2 matches) and TOGB sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dongen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | TOGB | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dongen vs TOGB?
- The Footlab model makes Dongen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for TOGB.
- Where and when is Dongen vs TOGB played?
- Dongen vs TOGB is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Biezen, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.