Douanes vs Vitesse: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Matchday 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo, Ouagadougou
The Footlab AI model makes Douanes the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Vitesse. The most likely score is 0-0. If Douanes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,941 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Douanes vs Vitesse?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Douanes (1,648) and Vitesse (1,619).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Douanes vs Vitesse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Douanes
Not enough data to predict the Douanes lineup.
Vitesse
Not enough data to predict the Vitesse lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Douanes have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Vitesse have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Comoé(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Majestic(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | ASFA-Yennenga(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | RCK(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Salitas(away) | 4-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Réal du Faso(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | USFA(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | ASFB(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | SONABEL(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Comoé(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Douanes wins, 3 draws, 0 Vitesse wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Vitesse 0-1 Douanes | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Douanes 1-1 Vitesse | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Vitesse 0-0 Douanes | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Douanes 3-2 Vitesse | Ligue 1 |
| May 31, 2024 | Douanes 1-0 Vitesse | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Vitesse 0-0 Douanes | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Douanes score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vitesse score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douanes | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Vitesse | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Douanes sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (16 points from 8 matches) and Vitesse sit 4th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Douanes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Vitesse | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 15 |
A question about Douanes vs Vitesse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Douanes vs Vitesse?
- The Footlab AI model makes Douanes the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Vitesse.
- Where and when is Douanes vs Vitesse played?
- Douanes vs Vitesse is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.