Dragons vs ASPAC: prediction and stats
Championnat NationalRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Charles de Gaulle, Porto-Novo
The Footlab AI model makes ASPAC the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Dragons. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dragons vs ASPAC?
ASPAC starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,776 vs 1,625).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dragons vs ASPAC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dragons
Not enough data to predict the Dragons lineup.
ASPAC
Not enough data to predict the ASPAC lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dragons have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; ASPAC have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Panthères(home) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AS Cotonou(away) | 0-2 | Championnat National |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Coton Sport Ouidah(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Buffles(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Cavaliers(away) | 1-2 | Championnat National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ASVO(away) | 1-2 | Championnat National |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Djeffa(home) | 2-0 | Championnat National |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Espoir Savalou(away) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Panthers(home) | 2-4 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Panthers(away) | 3-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dragons wins, 1 draw, 2 ASPAC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Dragons 3-2 ASPAC | Championnat National |
| Oct 25, 2025 | ASPAC 4-1 Dragons | Championnat National |
| Mar 9, 2025 | ASPAC 1-1 Dragons | Championnat National |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Dragons 2-1 ASPAC | Championnat National |
| May 18, 2024 | ASPAC 1-0 Dragons | Championnat National |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Dragons 1-0 ASPAC | Championnat National |
How many goals should we expect?
Dragons score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; ASPAC score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragons | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| ASPAC | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dragons sit 14th in Championnat National (36 points from 33 matches) and ASPAC sit 3rd (59 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ASPAC | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 46 | 22 | 59 |
| 14 | Dragons | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 44 | 36 |
A question about Dragons vs ASPAC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dragons vs ASPAC?
- The Footlab AI model makes ASPAC the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Dragons.
- Where and when is Dragons vs ASPAC played?
- Dragons vs ASPAC is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Charles de Gaulle, in the Championnat National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.