Dragons vs Loto Popo: prediction and stats
Championnat NationalRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Charles de Gaulle, Porto-Novo
The Footlab model makes Loto Popo the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Dragons. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dragons vs Loto Popo?
Loto Popo starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dragons have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Loto Popo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Buffles(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Cavaliers(away) | 1-2 | Championnat National |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Ayema(home) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | Coton Sport Ouidah(away) | 1-3 | Championnat National |
| May 22, 2026 | Loto Popo(home) | 0-2 | Championnat National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Coton Sport Ouidah(away) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | ASPAC(home) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| Jun 6, 2026 | JSP(away) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | AS Sobemap(home) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| May 22, 2026 | Dragons(away) | 2-0 | Championnat National |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dragons win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Loto Popo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Dragons 0-2 Loto Popo | Championnat National |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Loto Popo 2-1 Dragons | Championnat National |
| May 25, 2024 | Dragons 1-1 Loto Popo | Championnat National |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Loto Popo 0-0 Dragons | Championnat National |
| May 28, 2023 | Loto Popo 0-1 Dragons | Championnat National |
| Mar 15, 2023 | Dragons 0-1 Loto Popo | Championnat National |
How many goals should we expect?
Dragons score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Loto Popo score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragons | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Loto Popo | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 3/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dragons sit 14th in Championnat National (36 points from 33 matches) and Loto Popo sit 4th (57 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Loto Popo | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 22 | 57 |
| 14 | Dragons | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 44 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dragons vs Loto Popo?
- The Footlab model makes Loto Popo the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Dragons.
- Where and when is Dragons vs Loto Popo played?
- Dragons vs Loto Popo is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Charles de Gaulle, in the Championnat National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.