Dresden II vs Union Sandersdorf: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Dresden II the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Union Sandersdorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dresden II vs Union Sandersdorf?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Dresden II (1,757) and Union Sandersdorf (1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Dresden II have 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Union Sandersdorf have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eilenburg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SC Freital(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lichtenberg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weissenfels(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | Empor Glauchau(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | FC Lok Stendal(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 9, 2026 | Bischofswerdaer FV(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Dresden II score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 3; Union Sandersdorf score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dresden II | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1 | 2/3 | 0/3 |
| Union Sandersdorf | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dresden II sit 8th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (3 points from 1 matches) and Union Sandersdorf sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Union Sandersdorf | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Dresden II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dresden II vs Union Sandersdorf?
- The Footlab model makes Dresden II the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Union Sandersdorf.
- Where and when is Dresden II vs Union Sandersdorf played?
- Dresden II vs Union Sandersdorf is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.