Drogheda United vs UCD: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionFinalKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
The Footlab AI model makes Drogheda United the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for UCD. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Drogheda United vs UCD?
Drogheda United starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,572 vs 1,422).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Drogheda United vs UCD
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Drogheda United
3-5-2- 11T. Oluwa
- 24W. Davis
- 10B. Kavanagh
- 2E. Agbaje
- 8Ethan O'Brien
- 3C. Kane
- 17S. Farrell
- 22C. Keeley
- 4A. Quinn
- 5Leo Burney
- 44Fynn Michael Cordell Talley
UCD
4-3-3- 24S. Norval
- 15Charles Akinrintayo
- 25G. Lavin
- 8L. Dignam
- 10C. Behan
- 11H.Smith
- 14H. Curtis
- 5C. Lennox
- 3L. Cailloce
- 2S. Murphy
- 1D. Kavanagh
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 04:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Drogheda United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; UCD have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Galway United(home) | 2-0 | Premier Division |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Waterford(away) | 1-3 | Premier Division |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Derry City(home) | 2-0 | Premier Division |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 1-3 | Premier Division |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(away) | 3-1 | First Division |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Longford Town(home) | 2-0 | First Division |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Longford Town(away) | 2-0 | First Division |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Wexford(away) | 5-2 | First Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Longford Town(home) | 1-1 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Drogheda United wins, 1 draw, 1 UCD win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Drogheda United 1-1 UCD | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Drogheda United 3-0 UCD | Premier Division |
| Jul 14, 2023 | UCD 1-3 Drogheda United | Premier Division |
| May 26, 2023 | Drogheda United 3-1 UCD | Premier Division |
| Mar 10, 2023 | UCD 0-1 Drogheda United | Premier Division |
| Oct 21, 2022 | UCD 2-1 Drogheda United | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Drogheda United vs UCD on Jan 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Drogheda United score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; UCD score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drogheda United | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| UCD | 2.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Drogheda United | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 44 | 57 | 40 |
A question about Drogheda United vs UCD?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Drogheda United vs UCD?
- The Footlab AI model makes Drogheda United the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for UCD.
- Where and when is Drogheda United vs UCD played?
- Drogheda United vs UCD is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Tallaght Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.