Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava II: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Juliska, Praha
The Footlab model makes Dukla Praha the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Baník Ostrava II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava II?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Dukla Praha (1,852) and Baník Ostrava II (1,873).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dukla Praha have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Baník Ostrava II have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Horní Ředice(away) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(away) | 1-3 | FNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Slavia Praha II(home) | 1-3 | FNL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Vykan(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hanácká(home) | 2-0 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(home) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(away) | 4-1 | FNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Táborsko(home) | 1-2 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kladno(away) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Vlašim(home) | 2-2 | FNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Dukla Praha score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Baník Ostrava II score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dukla Praha | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Baník Ostrava II | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baník Ostrava II | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava II?
- The Footlab model makes Dukla Praha the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Baník Ostrava II.
- Where and when is Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava II played?
- Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava II is played on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Juliska, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.