Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The moreroom.com Stadium, Dumbarton
The Footlab model makes Dumbarton the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Annan Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Dumbarton (1,453) and Annan Athletic (1,488).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dumbarton have 3 wins, 0 draws and 12 defeats; Annan Athletic have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stranraer(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 2-4 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dumbarton win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Annan Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Dumbarton 2-1 Annan Athletic | League Two |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Annan Athletic 1-0 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Dumbarton 2-1 Annan Athletic | League Two |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Annan Athletic 3-4 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Dumbarton 3-1 Annan Athletic | League One |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Annan Athletic 2-1 Dumbarton | League One |
Last archived meeting: Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dumbarton score 0.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Annan Athletic score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dumbarton | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Annan Athletic | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dumbarton sit 9th in League Two (3 points from 4 matches) and Annan Athletic sit 8th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Annan Athletic | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Dumbarton the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Annan Athletic.
- Where and when is Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic played?
- Dumbarton vs Annan Athletic is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The moreroom.com Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.