Duque de Caxias vs Grêmio Barueri: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 7Kick-off on August 3, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Romário de Souza Faria, Duque de Caxias, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Duque de Caxias vs Grêmio Barueri?
Grêmio Barueri won 1-3 on August 3, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 1′Leandro Cruz De OliveiraDuque de Caxias
- 20′HarisonGrêmio Barueri
- 33′HarisonGrêmio Barueri
- 76′RenatoGrêmio Barueri
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Duque de Caxias have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Grêmio Barueri have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2013 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 20, 2013 | Ipatinga(home) | 3-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 13, 2013 | Madureira(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Macaé(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 9, 2013 | Vila Nova(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2013 | Macaé(home) | 1-3 | Serie C |
| Jul 20, 2013 | Mogi Mirim(away) | 1-3 | Serie C |
| Jul 14, 2013 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Ipatinga(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 9, 2013 | CRAC(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Duque de Caxias score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Grêmio Barueri score 1.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duque de Caxias | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Grêmio Barueri | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy