Durham W vs Bristol City W: prediction and stats
Women's ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Maiden Castle Sports Park, Durham, County Durham
The Footlab AI model makes Bristol City W the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Durham W. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 3, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durham W vs Bristol City W?
Bristol City W starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,949 vs 1,776).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Durham W vs Bristol City W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Durham W
4-3-3- 11J. Pennock
- 10G. Ede
- 9L. Watson
- 7B. Hepple
- 24E. Morran
- 21A. Stobbs
- 5S. Wilson
- 3L. Briggs
- 2G. Ayre
- 4M. McComasky
- 35C. Sheppard
Bristol City W
4-3-3- 9R. Hardy
- 7K. Robinson
- 10L. Lindström
- 16E. Syme
- 12A. Apostolakis
- 19M. Farrugia
- 20E. Morgan
- 3G. Lawley
- 23B. Aspin
- 15O. WoÅ
- 1F. Bentley
Computed on November 3, 2026 at 11:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durham W have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Bristol City W have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Newcastle United W(home) | 1-5 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Watford W(away) | 2-4 | Women's Championship |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Birmingham City W(home) | 0-5 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Burnley W(away) | 2-3 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Newcastle United W(home) | 0-3 | Women's Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Wolverhampton W(away) | 1-2 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur W(home) | 1-6 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Wolverhampton W(home) | 4-2 | Women's Championship |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Charlton Athletic W(away) | 0-2 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Southampton W(home) | 1-1 | WSL Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Durham W win, 2 draws, 3 Bristol City W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Durham W 2-2 Bristol City W | Women's Championship |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Bristol City W 2-1 Durham W | Women's Championship |
| May 4, 2025 | Durham W 2-0 Bristol City W | Women's Championship |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Bristol City W 5-0 Durham W | Women's Championship |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Bristol City W 3-0 Durham W | Women's Championship |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Durham W 1-1 Bristol City W | Women's Championship |
Last archived meeting: Durham W vs Bristol City W on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Durham W score 1.1 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol City W score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durham W | 1.1 | 2.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Bristol City W | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durham W sit 12th in Women's Championship (0 points from 6 matches) and Bristol City W sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bristol City W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Durham W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
A question about Durham W vs Bristol City W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durham W vs Bristol City W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bristol City W the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Durham W.
- Where and when is Durham W vs Bristol City W played?
- Durham W vs Bristol City W is played on January 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Maiden Castle Sports Park, in the Women's Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.