East Fife vs Hamilton Academical: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, Methil
The Footlab model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for East Fife. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win East Fife vs Hamilton Academical?
Hamilton Academical starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,722 vs 1,600).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Fife have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Hamilton Academical have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 4-0 | League One |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 5-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 East Fife win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Hamilton Academical win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Fife 0-0 Hamilton Academical | League One |
| Mar 7, 2026 | East Fife 0-3 Hamilton Academical | League One |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Hamilton Academical 1-0 East Fife | League One |
| Nov 1, 2025 | East Fife 1-1 Hamilton Academical | League One |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Hamilton Academical 1-2 East Fife | League One |
Last archived meeting: East Fife vs Hamilton Academical on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
East Fife score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hamilton Academical score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Fife | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Hamilton Academical | 2.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
East Fife sit 6th in League One (5 points from 4 matches) and Hamilton Academical sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton Academical | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | East Fife | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for East Fife vs Hamilton Academical?
- The Footlab model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for East Fife.
- Where and when is East Fife vs Hamilton Academical played?
- East Fife vs Hamilton Academical is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.