East Stirlingshire vs Bo'ness United: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
The Footlab model makes Bo'ness United the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for East Stirlingshire. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win East Stirlingshire vs Bo'ness United?
Bo'ness United starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,508 vs 1,378).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Stirlingshire have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Bo'ness United have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tranent Juniors(home) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stirling University(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Brechin(home) | 3-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Musselburgh Athletic(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Civil Service Strollers(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home) | 0-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tranent Juniors(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 East Stirlingshire win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Bo'ness United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Bo'ness United 2-0 East Stirlingshire | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2025 | East Stirlingshire 1-3 Bo'ness United | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Bo'ness United 2-1 East Stirlingshire | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | East Stirlingshire 1-1 Bo'ness United | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Bo'ness United 4-2 East Stirlingshire | Football League - Lowland League |
| Nov 18, 2023 | East Stirlingshire 3-4 Bo'ness United | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Bo'ness United vs East Stirlingshire on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
East Stirlingshire score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bo'ness United score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Stirlingshire | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Bo'ness United | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
East Stirlingshire sit 18th in Football League - Lowland League (7 points from 5 matches) and Bo'ness United sit 17th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bo'ness United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 18 | East Stirlingshire | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for East Stirlingshire vs Bo'ness United?
- The Footlab model makes Bo'ness United the favourite at 56%, against 20% for a draw and 24% for East Stirlingshire.
- Where and when is East Stirlingshire vs Bo'ness United played?
- East Stirlingshire vs Bo'ness United is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ochilview Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2026Auchinleck Talbot6-0Dalbeattie Star
- Jul 25, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1-2East Stirlingshire
- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers