East Stirlingshire vs Cowdenbeath: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on November 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
The Footlab model makes Cowdenbeath the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for East Stirlingshire. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win East Stirlingshire vs Cowdenbeath?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate East Stirlingshire (1,410) and Cowdenbeath (1,492).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Stirlingshire have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Cowdenbeath have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tranent Juniors(home) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stirling University(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Brechin(home) | 3-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stirling University(home) | 4-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Broxburn Athletic(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Civil Service Strollers(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 East Stirlingshire win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Cowdenbeath win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | East Stirlingshire 1-4 Cowdenbeath | Football League - Lowland League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Cowdenbeath 1-4 East Stirlingshire | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | East Stirlingshire 3-1 Cowdenbeath | Football League - Lowland League |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Cowdenbeath 3-0 East Stirlingshire | Football League - Lowland League |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Cowdenbeath 1-2 East Stirlingshire | Football League - Lowland League |
| Dec 26, 2023 | East Stirlingshire 2-3 Cowdenbeath | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: East Stirlingshire vs Cowdenbeath on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
East Stirlingshire score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cowdenbeath score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Stirlingshire | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Cowdenbeath | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
East Stirlingshire sit 18th in Football League - Lowland League (7 points from 5 matches) and Cowdenbeath sit 26th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | East Stirlingshire | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 26 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for East Stirlingshire vs Cowdenbeath?
- The Footlab model makes Cowdenbeath the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for East Stirlingshire.
- Where and when is East Stirlingshire vs Cowdenbeath played?
- East Stirlingshire vs Cowdenbeath is played on November 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Ochilview Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2026Auchinleck Talbot6-0Dalbeattie Star
- Jul 25, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1-2East Stirlingshire
- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers