East Thurrock United vs AFC Hornchurch: result 4-4 and analysis
FA Cup1st Round Qualifying ReplaysKick-off on September 16, 2014 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Rookery Hill, Corringham, Essex
Full time
What was the result of East Thurrock United vs AFC Hornchurch?
East Thurrock United and AFC Hornchurch drew 4-4 on September 16, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Thurrock United have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; AFC Hornchurch have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2014 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Dec 3, 2013 | Dover(away) | 1-3 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Dover(home) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 16, 2013 | Merthyr Town(home) | 4-2 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Canvey Island(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2014 | East Thurrock United(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Hereford United(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Wealdstone(home) | 6-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Spalding United(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 East Thurrock United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 AFC Hornchurch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2014 | AFC Hornchurch 1-1 East Thurrock United | FA Cup |
| Sep 17, 2013 | East Thurrock United 1-2 AFC Hornchurch | FA Cup |
| Sep 14, 2013 | AFC Hornchurch 1-1 East Thurrock United | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: AFC Hornchurch vs East Thurrock United on Sep 13, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
East Thurrock United score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Hornchurch score 1.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Thurrock United | 2.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| AFC Hornchurch | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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