East Thurrock United vs Arlesey Town: result 4-4 and analysis
FA Trophy2nd Round QualifyingKick-off on November 15, 2014 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rookery Hill, Corringham, Essex
Full time
What was the result of East Thurrock United vs Arlesey Town?
East Thurrock United and Arlesey Town drew 4-4 on November 15, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Thurrock United have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Arlesey Town have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2014 | Hartlepool(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 4, 2014 | Hungerford Town(home) | 4-2 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Hungerford Town(away) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 25, 2014 | Bath City(home) | 7-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 11, 2014 | Tooting & Mitcham United(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2014 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Biggleswade Town(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Whitehawk(home) | 1-5 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 16, 2013 | Marlow(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 5, 2013 | Poole Town(home) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
East Thurrock United score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arlesey Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Thurrock United | 2.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Arlesey Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2014Peacehaven & Telscombe4-3Thamesmead Town
- Nov 15, 2014Slough Town1-1Merthyr Town
- Nov 15, 2014Histon0-2Cray Wanderers
- Nov 15, 2014Curzon Ashton1-2Barwell
- Nov 15, 2014Spennymoor Town3-3Leek Town
- Nov 15, 2014Burgess Hill Town0-0Folkestone Invicta
- Nov 15, 2014Nantwich Town1-3Ramsbottom United
- Nov 15, 2014Metropolitan Police2-0Dulwich Hamlet