Eastbourne Borough vs Hartley Wintney: result 3-2 and analysis
FA Cup3rd Round QualifyingKick-off on October 10, 2015 at 02:00 PM (UTC)ReachTV Stadium, Eastbourne, East Sussex
Full time
What was the result of Eastbourne Borough vs Hartley Wintney?
Eastbourne Borough won 3-2 on October 10, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastbourne Borough have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Hartley Wintney have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2015 | AFC Sudbury(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 29, 2014 | Lowestoft Town(home) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 28, 2014 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 25, 2014 | Dover(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 12, 2014 | Kingstonian(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2015 | Merthyr Town(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 15, 2015 | Fleet Town(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Fleet Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Banbury United(home) | 5-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2015 | Chinnor(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Eastbourne Borough score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hartley Wintney score 2.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastbourne Borough | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hartley Wintney | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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