Ebro vs Peña Sport: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Almozara, Zaragoza
The Footlab AI model makes Ebro the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Peña Sport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ebro wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ebro vs Peña Sport?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Ebro (1,940) and Peña Sport (1,912).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ebro vs Peña Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ebro
Not enough data to predict the Ebro lineup.
Peña Sport
Not enough data to predict the Peña Sport lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebro have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Peña Sport have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Calamocha(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arnedo(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Terrassa(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Reddis(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Náxara(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SD Logroñés(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barcelona B(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Espanyol II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Manresa(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ebro score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Peña Sport score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebro | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Peña Sport | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ebro sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (13 points from 6 matches) and Peña Sport sit 13th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ebro | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 13 | Peña Sport | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Ebro vs Peña Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ebro vs Peña Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ebro the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Peña Sport.
- Where and when is Ebro vs Peña Sport played?
- Ebro vs Peña Sport is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Almozara, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.