Ecuador vs Colombia: result 6-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on November 17, 2020 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
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What was the result of Ecuador vs Colombia?
Ecuador won 6-1 on November 17, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 7′R. ArboledaEcuador
- 9′Á. MenaEcuador
- 32′M. EstradaEcuador
- 39′X. ArreagaEcuador
- 45′J. RodríguezColombia (pen.)
- 78′G. PlataEcuador
- 90′P. EstupiñánEcuador
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ecuador have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Colombia have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2020 | Bolivia(away) | 3-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 13, 2020 | Uruguay(home) | 4-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Argentina(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 20, 2019 | Colombia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 15, 2019 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2020 | Uruguay(home) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Chile(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Venezuela(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 20, 2019 | Ecuador(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Peru(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Ecuador win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Colombia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2019 | Ecuador 0-1 Colombia | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2017 | Ecuador 0-2 Colombia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Mar 29, 2016 | Colombia 3-1 Ecuador | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Ecuador score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Colombia score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Colombia | 1.3 | 0.7 | 11 | 2/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ecuador sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification South America (29 points from 18 matches) and Colombia sit 3rd (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 29 |
| 3 | Colombia | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy