Ecuador vs Uruguay: result 2-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on November 12, 2015 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
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What was the result of Ecuador vs Uruguay?
Ecuador won 2-1 on November 12, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 23′F. CaicedoEcuador
- 49′E. CavaniUruguay
- 59′F. MartínezEcuador
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Ecuador have 4 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Uruguay have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2015 | Bolivia(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 9, 2015 | Argentina(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 19, 2015 | Mexico(away) | 2-1 | Copa America |
| Jun 15, 2015 | Bolivia(home) | 2-3 | Copa America |
| Jun 11, 2015 | Chile(away) | 0-2 | Copa America |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2015 | Colombia(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 8, 2015 | Bolivia(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 24, 2015 | Chile(away) | 0-1 | Copa America |
| Jun 20, 2015 | Paraguay(home) | 1-1 | Copa America |
| Jun 16, 2015 | Argentina(away) | 0-1 | Copa America |
How many goals should we expect?
Ecuador score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 8; Uruguay score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 4/8 | 4/8 |
| Uruguay | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ecuador sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification South America (29 points from 18 matches) and Uruguay sit 4th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 29 |
| 4 | Uruguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy