Ecuador vs Venezuela: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaGroup Stage - 13Kick-off on November 11, 2021 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Full time
What was the result of Ecuador vs Venezuela?
Ecuador won 1-0 on November 11, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 41′P. HincapiéEcuador
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ecuador have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Venezuela have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | Mexico(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2021 | Colombia(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Venezuela(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 8, 2021 | Bolivia(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 9, 2021 | Uruguay(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2021 | Chile(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Ecuador(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 7, 2021 | Brazil(home) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 9, 2021 | Paraguay(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 6, 2021 | Peru(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ecuador win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Venezuela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2021 | Venezuela 2-1 Ecuador | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Venezuela 2-2 Ecuador | Copa America |
| Jun 2, 2019 | Venezuela 1-1 Ecuador | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2017 | Ecuador 1-1 Venezuela | Friendlies |
| Nov 15, 2016 | Ecuador 3-0 Venezuela | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 17, 2015 | Venezuela 1-3 Ecuador | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Ecuador score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Venezuela score 0.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Venezuela | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ecuador sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification South America (29 points from 18 matches) and Venezuela sit 8th (18 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 | Venezuela | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 18 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy