Eintracht Norderstedt vs VfB Lübeck: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, Norderstedt
The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Eintracht Norderstedt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eintracht Norderstedt vs VfB Lübeck?
VfB Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Norderstedt have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; VfB Lübeck have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Weiche Flensburg(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kickers Emden(home) | 6-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Eintracht Norderstedt win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 VfB Lübeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | VfB Lübeck 3-1 Eintracht Norderstedt | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Eintracht Norderstedt 2-4 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 29, 2025 | VfB Lübeck 2-3 Eintracht Norderstedt | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Eintracht Norderstedt 1-2 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 27, 2023 | Eintracht Norderstedt 0-1 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 19, 2022 | VfB Lübeck 0-1 Eintracht Norderstedt | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: VfB Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Eintracht Norderstedt score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Norderstedt | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 10/15 |
| VfB Lübeck | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eintracht Norderstedt sit 11th in Regionalliga - Nord (5 points from 5 matches) and VfB Lübeck sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 5 |
| 16 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eintracht Norderstedt vs VfB Lübeck?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Eintracht Norderstedt.
- Where and when is Eintracht Norderstedt vs VfB Lübeck played?
- Eintracht Norderstedt vs VfB Lübeck is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsEimsbütteler TV
- Sep 5, 2026Bremer SVvsKickers Emden
- Sep 5, 2026SSV JeddelohvsHamburger SV II
- Sep 5, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsTodesfelde
- Sep 5, 2026HSC HannovervsWeiche Flensburg
- Sep 5, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsSt. Pauli II
- Sep 5, 2026Phönix LübeckvsWerder Bremen II
- Sep 5, 2026SchöningenvsVfB Oldenburg