Ejea vs Real Zaragoza II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Luchán, Ejea de los Caballeros
The Footlab model makes Ejea the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Real Zaragoza II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ejea vs Real Zaragoza II?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Ejea (1,818) and Real Zaragoza II (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ejea have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Real Zaragoza II have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Eibar II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Tudelano(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | SD Logroñés(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Alfaro(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ejea win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Real Zaragoza II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II 1-0 Ejea | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Ejea 1-1 Real Zaragoza II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Ejea 1-0 Real Zaragoza II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Real Zaragoza II 3-2 Ejea | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Real Zaragoza II vs Ejea on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ejea score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Zaragoza II score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ejea | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Zaragoza II | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ejea vs Real Zaragoza II?
- The Footlab model makes Ejea the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Real Zaragoza II.
- Where and when is Ejea vs Real Zaragoza II played?
- Ejea vs Real Zaragoza II is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Luchán, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.