El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Khaled Bichara Stadium, El-Gouna
The Footlab model makes El Gouna FC the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for El Mokawloon. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate El Gouna FC (1,829) and El Mokawloon (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Gouna FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; El Mokawloon have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 28, 2026 | Petrojet(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | El Geish(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 El Gouna FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 El Mokawloon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | El Mokawloon 1-0 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2026 | El Gouna FC 1-1 El Mokawloon | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2024 | El Mokawloon 0-1 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
| Apr 3, 2024 | El Gouna FC 1-2 El Mokawloon | Premier League |
| Jan 15, 2024 | El Mokawloon 1-1 El Gouna FC | League Cup |
| Aug 10, 2022 | El Mokawloon 0-0 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: El Mokawloon vs El Gouna FC on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
El Gouna FC score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; El Mokawloon score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Gouna FC | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| El Mokawloon | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Gouna FC sit 9th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and El Mokawloon sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | El Gouna FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | El Mokawloon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon?
- The Footlab model makes El Gouna FC the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for El Mokawloon.
- Where and when is El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon played?
- El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon is played on September 2, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Khaled Bichara Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.