El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Khaled Bichara Stadium, El-Gouna
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for El Gouna FC, 35% for a draw, 33% for Smouha SC. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate El Gouna FC (1,826) and Smouha SC (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Gouna FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Smouha SC have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 28, 2026 | Petrojet(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | El Geish(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Pyramids FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Zamalek SC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | AL Masry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 El Gouna FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Smouha SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2025 | Smouha SC 0-1 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2025 | El Gouna FC 1-1 Smouha SC | Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2024 | El Gouna FC 1-0 Smouha SC | League Cup |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Smouha SC 0-0 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
| Apr 17, 2024 | El Gouna FC 1-0 Smouha SC | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Smouha SC 1-1 El Gouna FC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Smouha SC vs El Gouna FC on Oct 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
El Gouna FC score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Smouha SC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Gouna FC | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Smouha SC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Gouna FC sit 9th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and Smouha SC sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | El Gouna FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Smouha SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for El Gouna FC, 35% for a draw, 33% for Smouha SC.
- Where and when is El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC played?
- El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC is played on October 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Khaled Bichara Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.