El Nacional vs 9 de Octubre: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga Pro Serie BMatchday 20Kick-off on August 6, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Full time
What was the result of El Nacional vs 9 de Octubre?
El Nacional won 1-0 on August 6, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 56′674936El Nacional
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a 9 de Octubre win at 73%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 0-2. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; 9 de Octubre have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | 22 de Julio(away) | 3-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gualaceo SC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Cuniburo(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Cumbayá(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Atletico FC(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Santo Domingo(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 22 de Julio(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Cumbayá(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Gualaceo SC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 1, 2026 | LDU Portoviejo(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 El Nacional win, 2 draws, 1 9 de Octubre win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | 9 de Octubre 3-1 El Nacional | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2025 | 9 de Octubre 1-1 El Nacional | Copa Ecuador |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 9 de Octubre 0-0 El Nacional | Copa Ecuador |
| Sep 9, 2022 | El Nacional 2-0 9 de Octubre | Copa Ecuador |
Last archived meeting: 9 de Octubre vs El Nacional on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; 9 de Octubre score 0.9 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| 9 de Octubre | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Nacional sit 12th in Liga Pro Serie B (12 points from 22 matches) and 9 de Octubre sit 3rd (37 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9 de Octubre | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 37 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 32 | 12 |
A question about El Nacional vs 9 de Octubre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy