El Nacional vs Aucas: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 20Kick-off on July 1, 2018 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of El Nacional vs Aucas?
Aucas won 1-2 on July 1, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 18′E. MontañoAucas
- 31′M. BaldaEl Nacional
- 83′16518Aucas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Aucas have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2018 | Macara(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 17, 2018 | Barcelona SC(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 2, 2018 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| May 26, 2018 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2018 | LDU de Quito(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 16, 2018 | Macara(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 10, 2018 | Barcelona SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 3, 2018 | Guayaquil City FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| May 31, 2018 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 El Nacional win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Aucas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | Aucas 3-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| May 8, 2016 | El Nacional 1-1 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Mar 27, 2016 | Aucas 0-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| May 10, 2015 | El Nacional 1-1 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Mar 8, 2015 | Aucas 2-3 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Aucas score 1.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Aucas | 1.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aucas | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 26 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy