El Nacional vs Deportivo Quito: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 8Kick-off on April 4, 2012 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of El Nacional vs Deportivo Quito?
El Nacional won 2-1 on April 4, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 15′Julio Maximiliano BevacquaDeportivo Quito (pen.)
- 33′José Enrique Madrid OrobioEl Nacional
- 41′M. CaicedoEl Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Deportivo Quito have 2, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | LDU de Quito(away) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 28, 2012 | Barcelona SC(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 17, 2012 | Manta FC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 11, 2012 | CD Olmedo(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 4, 2012 | Macara(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 28, 2012 | Emelec(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 17, 2012 | LDU Loja(home) | 4-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 11, 2012 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 4-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 8; Deportivo Quito score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 4/8 | 4/8 |
| Deportivo Quito | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1 | 5/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | El Nacional | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 67 | 36 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy