El Nacional vs Emelec: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga ProPlacement Group - 5Kick-off on November 9, 2025 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of El Nacional vs Emelec?
El Nacional won 2-1 on November 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 26′J. AyovíEmelec (pen.)
- 42′D. ReascoEl Nacional
- 89′C. VelezEl Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Emelec have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Aucas(away) | 3-3 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Macara(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Delfin SC(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 0-5 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Macara(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Delfin SC(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 0-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Aucas(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Leones del Norte(away) | 0-0 | Copa Ecuador |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 El Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Emelec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Emelec 4-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| May 25, 2025 | El Nacional 2-0 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Emelec 0-1 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Mar 17, 2024 | El Nacional 0-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Sep 16, 2023 | El Nacional 1-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Apr 17, 2023 | Emelec 1-2 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Emelec vs El Nacional on Sep 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Emelec score 1.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Emelec | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Emelec | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy