El Nacional vs Emelec: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 12Kick-off on April 22, 2012 at 05:05 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of El Nacional vs Emelec?
El Nacional won 2-1 on April 22, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 45′L. FigueroaEmelec
- 62′81230El Nacional
- 85′Marvin Jonathan Pita MoraEl Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Emelec have 5, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2012 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 4, 2012 | Deportivo Quito(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 1, 2012 | LDU de Quito(away) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 28, 2012 | Barcelona SC(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 17, 2012 | Manta FC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2012 | Barcelona SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 8, 2012 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 1, 2012 | LDU Loja(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 28, 2012 | Deportivo Quito(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 25, 2012 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 10; Emelec score 1.6 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2 | 6/10 | 6/10 |
| Emelec | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy