El Porvenir vs Lugano: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera CRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 5, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Gildo Francisco Ghersinich, Gerli, Provincia de Buenos Aires
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What was the result of El Porvenir vs Lugano?
El Porvenir won 2-1 on September 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 16′545556El Porvenir
- 17′545423Lugano
- 90′F. AvalosEl Porvenir
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Porvenir have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Lugano have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2025 | Berazategui(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Ituzaingó(home) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Deportivo Español(away) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Claypole(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Deportivo Muñiz(away) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Defensores de Cambaceres(home) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Leandro N. Alem(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Mercedes(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Central Cordoba(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Puerto Nuevo(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 El Porvenir win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Lugano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Lugano 2-0 El Porvenir | Primera C |
| Sep 28, 2024 | El Porvenir 1-0 Lugano | Primera C |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Lugano 2-1 El Porvenir | Primera C |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Lugano 0-1 El Porvenir | Primera D |
| Aug 21, 2023 | El Porvenir 3-1 Lugano | Primera D |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Lugano 0-1 El Porvenir | Primera D |
Last archived meeting: Lugano vs El Porvenir on May 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
El Porvenir score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano score 0.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Porvenir | 0.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Lugano | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Porvenir sit 10th in Primera C (30 points from 25 matches) and Lugano sit 2nd (39 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lugano | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 39 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 30 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2025JJ Urquiza0-1Berazategui
- Sep 5, 2025Defensores de Cambaceres2-1Puerto Nuevo
- Sep 7, 2025General Lamadrid3-2Estrella Del Sur
- Sep 7, 2025Argentino Rosario1-0Atletico Atlas
- Sep 8, 2025Leandro N. Alem1-1Central Cordoba
- Sep 8, 2025Centro Español1-1Sportivo Barracas
- Sep 9, 2025Juventud Unida0-0Central Ballester
- Sep 9, 2025Lujan2-0Deportivo Paraguayo