El Porvenir vs Lugano: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 3, 2015 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gildo Francisco Ghersinich, Gerli, Provincia de Buenos Aires
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What was the result of El Porvenir vs Lugano?
El Porvenir won 1-0 on October 3, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Porvenir have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Lugano have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2015 | Deportivo Muñiz(away) | 0-0 | Primera D |
| Sep 22, 2015 | Argentino Rosario(home) | 4-0 | Primera D |
| Sep 16, 2015 | Centro Español(away) | 3-1 | Primera D |
| Sep 7, 2015 | Leandro N. Alem(home) | 2-0 | Primera D |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Yupanqui(away) | 0-1 | Primera D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2015 | Deportivo Paraguayo(home) | 1-2 | Primera D |
| Sep 20, 2015 | Victoriano Arenas(home) | 2-1 | Primera D |
| Sep 15, 2015 | Deportivo Muñiz(away) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Sep 6, 2015 | Argentino Rosario(home) | 1-0 | Primera D |
| Sep 1, 2015 | Centro Español(away) | 0-1 | Primera D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 El Porvenir win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Lugano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2015 | Lugano 2-4 El Porvenir | Primera D |
| Oct 18, 2014 | El Porvenir 4-0 Lugano | Primera D |
| Sep 17, 2014 | Lugano 0-4 El Porvenir | Primera D |
| Mar 7, 2014 | El Porvenir 1-0 Lugano | Primera D |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Lugano 0-1 El Porvenir | Primera D |
Last archived meeting: Lugano vs El Porvenir on Jun 14, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
El Porvenir score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Porvenir | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Lugano | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lugano | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy