El Porvenir vs Mercedes: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DApertura - 7Kick-off on April 29, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Gildo Francisco Ghersinich, Gerli, Provincia de Buenos Aires
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What was the result of El Porvenir vs Mercedes?
El Porvenir won 2-1 on April 29, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 24′?El Porvenir
- 71′?Mercedes
- 78′L. VillagraEl Porvenir
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Porvenir have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Mercedes have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2023 | Deportivo Paraguayo(away) | 0-0 | Primera D |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Sportivo Barracas(home) | 2-0 | Primera D |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Juventud Unida(away) | 0-2 | Primera D |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Defensores de Cambaceres(home) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Lugano(away) | 1-0 | Primera D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | Sportivo Barracas(home) | 2-1 | Primera D |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Juventud Unida(away) | 1-2 | Primera D |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Defensores de Cambaceres(home) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Lugano(away) | 1-2 | Primera D |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Central Ballester(home) | 1-0 | Primera D |
How many goals should we expect?
El Porvenir score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mercedes score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Porvenir | 0.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Mercedes | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy