Elgin City vs Edinburgh City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Borough Briggs, Elgin
The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Edinburgh City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elgin City vs Edinburgh City?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Elgin City (1,566) and Edinburgh City (1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elgin City have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Edinburgh City have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 5-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(home) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 0-5 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Elgin City win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Edinburgh City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Edinburgh City 0-5 Elgin City | League Two |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Edinburgh City 0-3 Elgin City | League Two |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Elgin City 3-0 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Edinburgh City 1-3 Elgin City | League Two |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Elgin City 2-4 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Edinburgh City 2-0 Elgin City | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Edinburgh City vs Elgin City on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elgin City score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Edinburgh City score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elgin City | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Edinburgh City | 1.6 | 1.8 | 6 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elgin City sit 2nd in League Two (8 points from 4 matches) and Edinburgh City sit 10th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Elgin City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | Edinburgh City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elgin City vs Edinburgh City?
- The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Edinburgh City.
- Where and when is Elgin City vs Edinburgh City played?
- Elgin City vs Edinburgh City is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Briggs, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.