Elva vs Nõmme United II: prediction and stats
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Elva linnastaadion, Elva
The Footlab AI model makes Elva the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Nõmme United II. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,597 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elva vs Nõmme United II?
On Elo ratings, Elva has 1,466 points and Nõmme United II 1,382.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elva vs Nõmme United II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elva
4-1-2-3- 18K. Põldsaar
- 22P. Alev
- 4A. Bangura
- 8R. Lindmäe
- 10J. Reilson
- 15R. Jaagant
- 6V. Kütt
- 55G. Lani
- 36E. Ilves
- 16M. Thomson
- 77S. Rebane
Nõmme United II
4-3-3- 16A. Gusarov
- 77K. Tomingas
- 8A. Valge
- 45R. Leppik
- 66R. Palu
- 25G. Kabal
- 19R. Tiigiste
- 7J. Kais
- 23M. Marmei
- 58A. Medvedev
- 91R. Ortega
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elva have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Nõmme United II have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev(home) | 0-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 3-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 0-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Tartu Welco(away) | 0-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev(home) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 3-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Flora II(away) | 2-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tartu Welco(away) | 3-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 3-2 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Elva win, 0 draws, 2 Nõmme United II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | Nõmme United II 0-1 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| May 16, 2026 | Nõmme United II 1-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Elva 1-3 Nõmme United II | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: Nõmme United II vs Elva on Sep 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elva score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nõmme United II score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elva | 1.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Nõmme United II | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elva sit 5th in Esiliiga A (52 points from 35 matches) and Nõmme United II sit 8th (40 points from 35 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Elva | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 50 | 51 | 52 |
| 8 | Nõmme United II | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 58 | 71 | 40 |
A question about Elva vs Nõmme United II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elva vs Nõmme United II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elva the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Nõmme United II.
- Where and when is Elva vs Nõmme United II played?
- Elva vs Nõmme United II is played on November 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Elva linnastaadion, in the Esiliiga A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.