Match

EM Mahdia vs Mégrine: prediction and stats

Ligue 2Regular Season - 7Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stade Ahmed Khouaja, Mahdia

EM MahdiaMégrine

The Footlab AI model makes EM Mahdia the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Mégrine. The most likely score is 1-1. If EM Mahdia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,471 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win EM Mahdia vs Mégrine?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate EM Mahdia (1,574) and Mégrine (1,609).

48%26%26%
EM Mahdia winDrawMégrine win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for EM Mahdia vs Mégrine

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

EM Mahdia

Not enough data to predict the EM Mahdia lineup.

Mégrine

Not enough data to predict the Mégrine lineup.

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 03:04 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, EM Mahdia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Mégrine have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

EM Mahdia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026BS Bouhajla(away)2-0Ligue 2
Oct 26, 2026US Tataouine(home)3-2Ligue 2
Oct 18, 2026AS Agareb(away)1-1Ligue 2
Oct 10, 2026M'saken(home)2-2Ligue 2
Oct 3, 2026Kerkennah(home)2-1Ligue 2
Mégrine
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Kerkennah(home)1-1Ligue 2
Oct 26, 2026Sporting Ben Arous(away)0-1Ligue 2
Oct 18, 2026Stade Soussien(home)2-0Ligue 2
Oct 10, 2026AS Soliman(away)3-2Ligue 2
Oct 3, 2026Béni-Khalled(home)1-1Ligue 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 EM Mahdia wins, 1 draw, 3 Mégrine wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Mégrine 0-0 EM MahdiaLigue 2
Nov 22, 2025EM Mahdia 0-1 MégrineLigue 2
May 24, 2025EM Mahdia 1-3 MégrineLigue 2
Jan 4, 2025Mégrine 2-1 EM MahdiaLigue 2

Last archived meeting: Mégrine vs EM Mahdia on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

EM Mahdia score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mégrine score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
EM Mahdia0.91.147/155/15
Mégrine1.01.238/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

EM Mahdia sit 4th in Ligue 2 (14 points from 6 matches) and Mégrine sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4EM Mahdia642012714
6Mégrine63219611

A question about EM Mahdia vs Mégrine?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for EM Mahdia vs Mégrine?
The Footlab AI model makes EM Mahdia the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Mégrine.
Where and when is EM Mahdia vs Mégrine played?
EM Mahdia vs Mégrine is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Ahmed Khouaja, in the Ligue 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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