Emelec vs Aucas: result 2-0 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 8Kick-off on March 22, 2015 at 09:15 PM (UTC)Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
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What was the result of Emelec vs Aucas?
Emelec won 2-0 on March 22, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 39′M. BolañosEmelec (pen.)
- 42′M. BolañosEmelec
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emelec have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Aucas have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2015 | El Nacional(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 8, 2015 | Barcelona SC(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 28, 2015 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 21, 2015 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 14, 2015 | LDU Loja(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2015 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 8, 2015 | El Nacional(home) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 22, 2015 | LDU Loja(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 15, 2015 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 8, 2015 | LDU de Quito(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Emelec score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Aucas score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
| Aucas | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emelec sit 13th in Liga Pro (29 points from 26 matches) and Aucas sit 2nd (44 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy