Emelec vs El Nacional: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 5Kick-off on March 1, 2016 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
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What was the result of Emelec vs El Nacional?
El Nacional won 0-1 on March 1, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 44′M. EstradaEl Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emelec have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; El Nacional have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2016 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 14, 2016 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 12, 2015 | Deportivo Quito(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 10, 2015 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2016 | Delfin SC(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 13, 2016 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 7, 2016 | Barcelona SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 12, 2015 | LDU de Quito(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 4, 2015 | LDU Loja(away) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Emelec wins, 1 draw, 2 El Nacional wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2015 | Emelec 2-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Mar 15, 2015 | El Nacional 1-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Apr 6, 2014 | Emelec 5-1 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Mar 30, 2014 | El Nacional 2-0 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| May 25, 2013 | El Nacional 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Feb 23, 2013 | Emelec 2-1 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Emelec score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; El Nacional score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 1.8 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| El Nacional | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Emelec | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 39 | 39 |
A question about Emelec vs El Nacional?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy