Emelec vs El Nacional: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 5Kick-off on February 23, 2013 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
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What was the result of Emelec vs El Nacional?
Emelec won 2-1 on February 23, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 58′M. CaicedoEmelec
- 68′81190Emelec
- 90′A. VillalvaEl Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emelec have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; El Nacional have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | LDU de Quito(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 9, 2013 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 30, 2013 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 4-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 27, 2013 | Macara(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Macara(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | Deportivo Quito(away) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 10, 2013 | LDU de Quito(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 2, 2013 | Macara(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 27, 2013 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 7, 2012 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Emelec win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 El Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2012 | Emelec 5-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Apr 22, 2012 | El Nacional 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Emelec vs El Nacional on Apr 25, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Emelec score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; El Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| El Nacional | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy