Emelec vs Mushuc Runa SC: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 1Kick-off on January 26, 2014 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
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What was the result of Emelec vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Emelec won 1-0 on January 26, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 26′D. StracqualursiEmelec
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emelec have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mushuc Runa SC have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2013 | Macara(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 27, 2013 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 23, 2013 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 20, 2013 | Manta FC(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 15, 2013 | LDU de Quito(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2013 | Grecia(away) | 0-6 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Nov 17, 2013 | Aucas(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Nov 14, 2013 | CD Olmedo(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Nov 9, 2013 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Ferroviarios(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Emelec score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mushuc Runa SC score 0.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 0.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Mushuc Runa SC | 0.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emelec sit 13th in Liga Pro (29 points from 26 matches) and Mushuc Runa SC sit 9th (33 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mushuc Runa SC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 33 |
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy