Emelec vs Universidad Catolica: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 5Kick-off on February 16, 2014 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
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What was the result of Emelec vs Universidad Catolica?
Emelec won 2-1 on February 16, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 22′D. StracqualursiEmelec
- 29′Luis Miguel EscaladaEmelec
- 57′252724Universidad Catolica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emelec have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Universidad Catolica have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2014 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 2, 2014 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 26, 2014 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 30, 2013 | Macara(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 27, 2013 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | El Nacional(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 2, 2014 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 4-3 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 29, 2014 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 25, 2014 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 30, 2013 | LDU de Quito(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Emelec win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Universidad Catolica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2013 | Emelec 1-0 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Jan 30, 2013 | Universidad Catolica 0-4 Emelec | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Emelec vs Universidad Catolica on Jun 27, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Emelec score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad Catolica score 1.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 0.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Universidad Catolica | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emelec sit 13th in Liga Pro (29 points from 26 matches) and Universidad Catolica sit 3rd (43 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 23 | 43 |
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy