Empoli vs Benevento: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, Empoli
The Footlab model makes Benevento the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Empoli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Empoli vs Benevento?
Benevento starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,824).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Empoli have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Benevento have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spezia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Modena(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-4 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 5-3 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Empoli win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Benevento win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2020 | Benevento 2-4 Empoli | Coppa Italia |
| Jun 26, 2020 | Empoli 0-0 Benevento | Serie B |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Benevento 2-0 Empoli | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Empoli score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Benevento score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Benevento | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Empoli sit 9th in Serie B (3 points from 1 matches) and Benevento sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Benevento | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Empoli vs Benevento?
- The Footlab model makes Benevento the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Empoli.
- Where and when is Empoli vs Benevento played?
- Empoli vs Benevento is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.