Match

Empoli vs Benevento: prediction and stats

Serie BRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, Empoli

EmpoliBenevento

The Footlab AI model makes Benevento the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Empoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Benevento wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Empoli vs Benevento?

Benevento starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,931 vs 1,741).

28%27%45%
Empoli winDrawBenevento win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Empoli vs Benevento

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Empoli

3-5-2
  1. 10E. Saporiti
  2. 11S. Shpendi
  1. 8L. Magnino
  2. 91N. Corrado
  3. 15J. Ceesay
  4. 39E. Biondini
  5. 21Gerard Yepes
  1. 33C. Cauz
  2. 25M. Curto
  3. 6S. Romagnoli
  1. 12J. Seghetti

Benevento

4-1-3-2
  1. 9F. Salvemini
  2. 29D. Okereke
  1. 11D. Lamesta
  2. 8M. Maita
  3. 6A. Siatounis
  4. 28C. Kouan
  1. 14S. Scognamillo
  2. 23P. Saio
  3. 77E. Pierozzi
  4. 20P. Beruatto
  1. 26G. Vannucchi

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:48 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Empoli have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Benevento have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Empoli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Palermo(home)2-4Serie B
Sep 20, 2026Modena(away)1-2Serie B
Sep 11, 2026Arezzo(home)0-1Serie B
Sep 5, 2026Carrarese(away)1-0Serie B
Aug 30, 2026Mantova(away)1-3Serie B
Benevento
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Cesena(home)2-0Serie B
Oct 2, 2026Frosinone(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Carrarese(away)1-0Serie B
Sep 11, 2026Hellas Verona(home)3-1Serie B
Sep 5, 2026Ascoli(away)0-1Serie B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Empoli win, 1 draw, 1 Benevento win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2020Benevento 2-4 EmpoliCoppa Italia
Jun 26, 2020Empoli 0-0 BeneventoSerie B
Nov 3, 2019Benevento 2-0 EmpoliSerie B

Last archived meeting: Benevento vs Empoli on Oct 28, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Empoli score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Benevento score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Empoli0.91.348/154/15
Benevento1.91.3410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Empoli sit 13th in Serie B (6 points from 6 matches) and Benevento sit 8th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Benevento63128510
13Empoli62046106

A question about Empoli vs Benevento?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Empoli vs Benevento?
The Footlab AI model makes Benevento the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Empoli.
Where and when is Empoli vs Benevento played?
Empoli vs Benevento is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, in the Serie B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Empoli and Benevento

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