Erbil vs Naft: result 1-1 and analysis
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 27, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Franso Hariri Stadium, Erbil
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What was the result of Erbil vs Naft?
Erbil and Naft drew 1-1 on October 27, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 20′Sherko KareemErbil
- 39′O. AfolabiNaft
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbil have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Naft have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2023 | Al-Qasim(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Al Najaf(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jul 10, 2023 | Newroz(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Jul 5, 2023 | Zakho(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 30, 2023 | Al Sinaah(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2023 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jul 20, 2023 | Al Diwaniya(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Karbala(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jul 11, 2023 | Al-Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jul 5, 2023 | Al Najaf(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Erbil win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Naft win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Naft 0-2 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Dec 5, 2022 | Erbil 2-0 Naft | Iraqi League |
| May 4, 2022 | Naft 2-0 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Erbil 0-0 Naft | Iraqi League |
| May 17, 2021 | Erbil 2-1 Naft | Iraqi League |
| Jan 2, 2021 | Naft 1-1 Erbil | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Erbil score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Naft score 0.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erbil | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Naft | 0.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erbil sit 1st in Iraqi League (4 points from 2 matches) and Naft sit 2nd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Naft | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy