Ergotelis vs Apollon Smirnis: result 1-0 and analysis
Football LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 10, 2012 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Pankritio Stadio, Heraklion
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What was the result of Ergotelis vs Apollon Smirnis?
Ergotelis won 1-0 on October 10, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 78′B. JovanovićErgotelis
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ergotelis have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Apollon Smirnis have 2, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2012 | Iraklis Psachna(away) | 1-0 | Football League |
| Oct 3, 2012 | Doxa Dramas(home) | 1-0 | Football League |
| Apr 22, 2012 | Xanthi FC(away) | 2-4 | Super League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2012 | Levadiakos(home) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Apr 8, 2012 | Doxa Dramas(away) | 1-1 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2012 | Niki Volos(away) | 1-1 | Football League |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Thrasyvoulos(home) | 1-0 | Football League |
| Nov 23, 2011 | Panthrakikos(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Nov 9, 2011 | Paniliakos(home) | 4-2 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ergotelis score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Apollon Smirnis score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ergotelis | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Apollon Smirnis | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy