Erkenschwick vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 13Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stimberg-Stadion, Oer-Erkenschwick
The Footlab model makes SpVgg Herne Horsthausen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Erkenschwick. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erkenschwick vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Erkenschwick (1,649) and SpVgg Herne Horsthausen (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erkenschwick have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; SpVgg Herne Horsthausen have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ennepetal(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuS Hordel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hiltrup(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Herne Horsthausen score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erkenschwick | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erkenschwick sit 3rd in Oberliga - Westfalen (7 points from 3 matches) and SpVgg Herne Horsthausen sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Erkenschwick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erkenschwick vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen?
- The Footlab model makes SpVgg Herne Horsthausen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Erkenschwick.
- Where and when is Erkenschwick vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen played?
- Erkenschwick vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stimberg-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.