ES Setif vs MC Oran: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 19Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du 8 Mai 1945, Sétif
The Footlab model makes ES Setif the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for MC Oran. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Setif vs MC Oran?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate ES Setif (1,864) and MC Oran (1,884).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Setif have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; MC Oran have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Paradou AC(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | JS Kabylie(away) | 1-5 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MC Oran(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | USM Alger(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 7, 2026 | ASO Chlef(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | JS Kabylie(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 ES Setif win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 MC Oran win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | ES Setif 3-0 MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | MC Oran 0-0 ES Setif | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | ES Setif 1-0 MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 7, 2024 | MC Oran 1-0 ES Setif | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2024 | MC Oran 4-1 ES Setif | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 29, 2023 | ES Setif 1-0 MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
ES Setif score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; MC Oran score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Setif | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| MC Oran | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Setif sit 11th in Ligue 1 (39 points from 30 matches) and MC Oran sit 4th (49 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MC Oran | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 49 |
| 11 | ES Setif | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 36 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Setif vs MC Oran?
- The Footlab model makes ES Setif the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for MC Oran.
- Where and when is ES Setif vs MC Oran played?
- ES Setif vs MC Oran is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du 8 Mai 1945, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.