ES Setif vs USM Alger: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du 8 Mai 1945, Sétif
The Footlab AI model makes USM Alger the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for ES Setif. The most likely score is 1-1. If USM Alger wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Setif vs USM Alger?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate ES Setif (1,841) and USM Alger (1,902).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ES Setif vs USM Alger
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ES Setif
4-3-3- 18Zakaria Benchaâ
- 7I. Belkhir
- 20M. Zerrouki
- 26M. Boumechra
- 12C. Lakehal
- 15Abdelrahman Bouneqab Ahd
- 27K. Hamidi
- 4Hadi Al Hourani
- 5A. Boudechicha
- 19Anis Khemaissia
- 1A. Oukidja
USM Alger
4-3-3- 15M. Ramdaoui
- 24M. Bouderbala
- 26G. Guenaoui
- 11G. Likonza
- 6Z. Draoui
- 8A. Benguit
- 12H. Loucif
- 19S. Radouani
- 28A. Abada
- 5I. Azzi
- 25O. Benbot
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Setif have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; USM Alger have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | JS Kabylie(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | MC Oran(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | CS Constantine(home) | 5-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Ben Aknoun(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | JS Saoura(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | MB Rouisset(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Olympique Akbou(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | JS El Biar(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Khenchela(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ES Setif win, 1 draw, 4 USM Alger wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | USM Alger 2-0 ES Setif | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | ES Setif 1-3 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 16, 2025 | USM Alger 1-0 ES Setif | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | ES Setif 1-1 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 19, 2024 | USM Alger 2-0 ES Setif | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 14, 2023 | ES Setif 2-1 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: USM Alger vs ES Setif on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ES Setif score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; USM Alger score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Setif | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| USM Alger | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Setif sit 9th in Ligue 1 (5 points from 5 matches) and USM Alger sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | USM Alger | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | ES Setif | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
A question about ES Setif vs USM Alger?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Setif vs USM Alger?
- The Footlab AI model makes USM Alger the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for ES Setif.
- Where and when is ES Setif vs USM Alger played?
- ES Setif vs USM Alger is played on December 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du 8 Mai 1945, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.